Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 51%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.97/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.72
-18% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +66%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
26.01.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
11.08.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-2 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.01.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.10.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-5 HT 0-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.04.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC nicked a narrow win over Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.83 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 30%, draw 27%, Cancun FC 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
16 Aug 2025
00:00 Correcaminos UAT vs Leones Negros Udeg Analysis →
06:00 CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas Analysis →