Cancun FC 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.51/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.57
+21% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
11.08.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-2 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.01.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.10.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-5 HT 0-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.04.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
06.01.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC squeezed past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cancun FC and 0.83 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Cancun FC 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 60%, draw 22%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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