Monarcas Morelia 0-2 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
0.56/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.27
-52% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atlante
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12.08.2024 Atlante Atlante 3-1 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
24.03.2024 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
16.10.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
27.02.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
12.08.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
24.03.2022 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante got the better of Monarcas Morelia 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.33 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Atlante?

Monarcas Morelia 0-2 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 24%, draw 30%, Atlante 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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