Abu Salim 1-2 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 25 Feb 2024

Abu Salim
1-2 HT 0-1
Zamalek
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2023/2024

Abu Salim vs Zamalek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.4
No
67%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
48%
2.08
2-3 Goals
28%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.23
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.08 — our 48% vs market 41.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.6pp
33%
BTTS Yes
38%
-4.4pp
67%
BTTS No
62%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abu Salim v Zamalek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abu Salim EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
234 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Abu Salim vs Zamalek Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abu Salim
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zamalek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.24 xG 0.86
19% Ball Possession 81%
3 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
111 Passes 640
61% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 38
4 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 0-0 Abu Salim CAFKK

Abu Salim 1-2 Zamalek — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abu Salim
1-2
AWAY Zamalek
0.91 xG 1.36
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
156 Passes 620
67% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Abu Salim vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek nicked a narrow win over Abu Salim 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Zamalek found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Abu Salim had 26% of the ball to Zamalek's 74%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.91 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Abu Salim vs Zamalek?

Abu Salim 1-2 Zamalek in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abu Salim vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Abu Salim 30%, draw 31%, Zamalek 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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