Stade Malien Bamako 1-0 Diables Noirs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.55
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.65
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Diables Noirs EU Bookmakers 16%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.82
+150% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +130% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
Crosses 12.6
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Diables Noirs
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.87
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
143 Passes 244
57% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Diables Noirs Diables Noirs 1-3 HT 0-3 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
1-0
AWAY Diables Noirs
1.76 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
164 Passes 175
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Malien Bamako vs Diables Noirs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Malien Bamako nicked a narrow win over Diables Noirs 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stade Malien Bamako as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Stade Malien Bamako had 57% of the ball to Diables Noirs's 43%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.76 to 0.86.

What was the final score of Stade Malien Bamako vs Diables Noirs?

Stade Malien Bamako 1-0 Diables Noirs in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Malien Bamako vs Diables Noirs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Malien Bamako win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 59%, draw 21%, Diables Noirs 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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