Al Hilal 2-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 25 Feb 2024

Al Hilal
2-1 HT 1-0
USM Alger
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2025/2026

Al Hilal vs USM Alger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.8pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hilal v USM Alger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.73/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.64
+34% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
9.5 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Al Hilal vs USM Alger Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.73 xG 1.47
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
183 Passes 377
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Al Hilal CAFKK
POST-MATCH Al Hilal vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal edged past USM Alger 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Al Hilal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Hilal vs USM Alger?

Al Hilal 2-1 USM Alger in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal 38%, draw 28%, USM Alger 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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