Academica Do Lobito 2-3 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
6%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+8.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica Do Lobito EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 48%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica Do Lobito
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rivers United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.47 xG 1.08
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
248 Passes 469
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Rivers United Rivers United 3-0 HT 1-0 Academica Do Lobito Academica Do Lobito CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica Do Lobito
2-3
AWAY Rivers United
1.46 xG 1.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 420
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academica Do Lobito vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rivers United edged past Academica Do Lobito 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Rivers United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Academica Do Lobito had 42% of the ball to Rivers United's 58%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.46 to 1.68.

What was the final score of Academica Do Lobito vs Rivers United?

Academica Do Lobito 2-3 Rivers United in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica Do Lobito vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rivers United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academica Do Lobito 38%, draw 22%, Rivers United 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rivers United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rivers United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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