İstanbulspor 0-2 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

İstanbulspor
0-2 HT 0-1
Beşiktaş
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

İstanbulspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.23
2-3 Goals
45%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.18
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
1/X
8%
17.05
X/1
8%
12.15
X/2
17%
3.77
X/X
11%
6.13
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.86
2/X
7%
16.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 66%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.60/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.91
-4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
13.9 Crosses 21.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

İstanbulspor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.44 xG 1.62
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
294 Passes 491
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
18.03.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
29.11.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor HAZ
17.09.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-2 HT 1-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
15.05.2005 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
05.12.2004 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL

İstanbulspor 0-2 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
0-2
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.76 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
357 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş beat İstanbulspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 49% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 51%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.76 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İstanbulspor and 2.33 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Beşiktaş?

İstanbulspor 0-2 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 20%, draw 26%, Beşiktaş 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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