Sivasspor 4-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.4
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
16%
5.37
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
12%
3.98
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.49/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.03/2.43
-14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -32%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
18.2 Crosses 25.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.85 xG 1.43
32% Ball Possession 68%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
223 Passes 548
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.10.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
4-1
AWAY Pendikspor
1.51 xG 1.04
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
197 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor swept aside Pendikspor 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sivasspor had 38% of the ball to Pendikspor's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.51 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Pendikspor?

Sivasspor 4-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 41%, draw 28%, Pendikspor 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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