Trabzonspor 1-0 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.57
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 28% vs market 17.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.54
X/2
9%
8.37
X/X
12%
5.41
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
13%
5.69
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.3pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.59/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.4 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
433 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.03.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4-1 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
12.09.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
23.04.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
04.12.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
16.12.2020 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-0
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.09 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 303
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor edged past Adana Demirspor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 48% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 52%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.09 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.33 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Trabzonspor 1-0 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 47%, draw 25%, Adana Demirspor 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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