Cardiff City 1-0 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 29% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.74
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.54
X/2
12%
5.86
X/X
9%
4.16
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
21%
4.08
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.01/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.02
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.6 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hull City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.05 xG 1.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 417
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Hull City Hull City 4-1 HT 2-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
06.04.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-3 HT 0-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
16.12.2023 Hull City Hull City 3-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
04.02.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
08.11.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-3 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
15.04.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 2-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
1-0
AWAY Hull City
0.51 xG 0.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
209 Passes 505
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City nicked a narrow win over Hull City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Cardiff City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cardiff City had 33% of the ball to Hull City's 67%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 0.51 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff City and 2.67 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Hull City?

Cardiff City 1-0 Hull City in the England - Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 36%, draw 24%, Hull City 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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