Hull City vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hull City v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Hull City vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
2-3
HT 0-1
Hull City
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-1
Hull City
İNCL
Hull City 4-1 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Hull City swept aside Cardiff City 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hull City had 49% of the ball to Cardiff City's 51%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.35 to 1.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hull City and 0.67 for Cardiff City.
What was the final score of Hull City vs Cardiff City?
Hull City 4-1 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hull City vs Cardiff City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hull City 47%, draw 28%, Cardiff City 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.