Alfreton Town 1-0 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.01
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.8pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.44/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.36
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Leamington
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2024 Leamington Leamington 2-2 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
01.04.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
08.10.2022 Leamington Leamington 1-2 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
23.04.2022 Leamington Leamington 1-2 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
27.11.2021 Leamington Leamington 0-3 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
21.09.2021 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-0
AWAY Leamington
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town squeezed past Leamington 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) promised a tight game; Alfreton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 59% of the ball to Leamington's 41%, shots finished 11-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alfreton Town and 0.67 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Leamington?

Alfreton Town 1-0 Leamington in the England - Conference on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 40%, draw 31%, Leamington 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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