Leamington 2-2 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.62
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
08.10.2022 Leamington Leamington 1-2 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
23.04.2022 Leamington Leamington 1-2 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
27.11.2021 Leamington Leamington 0-3 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
21.09.2021 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
17.11.2020 Leamington Leamington 4-3 HT 0-3 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
2-2
AWAY Alfreton Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington and Alfreton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leamington had 48% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 52%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leamington and 2.17 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Alfreton Town?

Leamington 2-2 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leamington 35%, draw 26%, Alfreton Town 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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