Spennymoor Town 3-2 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 31% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.19
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 2-4 HT 2-3 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
18.12.2021 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 0-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
3-2
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town nicked a narrow win over Radcliffe Borough 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 50% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 50%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.00 for Radcliffe Borough.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Radcliffe Borough?

Spennymoor Town 3-2 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 45%, draw 29%, Radcliffe Borough 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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