Radcliffe Borough 2-4 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
231 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.12.2021 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 0-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
2-4
AWAY Spennymoor Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town beat Radcliffe Borough 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 57% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 43%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Spennymoor Town?

Radcliffe Borough 2-4 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 33%, draw 26%, Spennymoor Town 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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