Holywell 0-2 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
34%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
34%
Away Win
49%
-15.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 53%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/3.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.85
-38% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +75%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
193 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
06.08.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-0 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
25.03.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-3 HT 1-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
12.08.2022 Holywell Holywell 1-6 HT 0-4 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
02.04.2022 Holywell Holywell 0-1 HT 0-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
01.03.2022 Holywell Holywell 3-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
01.03.2022 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-0 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay beat Holywell 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Colwyn Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Holywell and 2.17 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?

Holywell 0-2 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Holywell 35%, draw 31%, Colwyn Bay 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ BTTS Yes
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