Colwyn Bay 2-0 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 59%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.46/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.09/0.52
-68% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +145%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Holywell
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
25.03.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-3 HT 1-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
12.08.2022 Holywell Holywell 1-6 HT 0-4 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
02.04.2022 Holywell Holywell 0-1 HT 0-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
01.03.2022 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-0 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
01.03.2022 Holywell Holywell 3-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay got the better of Holywell 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Holywell at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Colwyn Bay and 1.40 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Holywell?

Colwyn Bay 2-0 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 27%, draw 22%, Holywell 51%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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