Buckley Town 2-4 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.18
Over 2.5
64%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
42%
-6.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
58%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.72/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.37
-14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buckley Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Caersws
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.10.2024 Caersws Caersws 3-0 HT 2-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
27.01.2024 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws beat Buckley Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Buckley Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buckley Town and 2.00 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Caersws?

Buckley Town 2-4 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buckley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 48%, draw 23%, Caersws 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buckley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buckley Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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