Real Madrid (K) 2-6 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 25 Mar 2026

📅25/03/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
68%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.36
2-3 Goals
37%
2.36
4-5 Goals
28%
2.29
6+ Goals
13%
3.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
14.7
1/2
5%
16.9
1/X
3%
24.35
X/1
7%
20.05
X/2
22%
4.1
X/X
10%
11.05
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
40%
1.39
2/X
3%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+6.7pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.8pp
68%
Away Win
76%
-7.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.09/3.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.76
+22% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 85%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.6
14.8 Crosses 24.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.96 xG 3.13
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
196 Passes 568
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 43
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2026 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İSKSK
15.11.2025 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
23.03.2025 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
26.01.2025 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İSKSK
16.11.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
24.03.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
2-6
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.88 xG 3.28
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
199 Passes 582
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
25 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) swept aside Real Madrid (K) 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 29% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 71%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.88 to 3.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 3.17 for Barcelona (K).

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 2-6 Barcelona (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 25/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 17%, draw 15%, Barcelona (K) 68%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
25 Mar 2026
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