Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 25 Mar 2026

Central Coast Mariners (K)
2-1 HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅25/03/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
28%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.7pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.4pp
51%
Away Win
51%
-0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.95/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.73
+27% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
11.5 Crosses 24.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 279
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2026 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
22.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2025 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
2-1
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.05 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 4
285 Passes 292
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) squeezed past Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 48% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 52%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.05 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Central Coast Mariners (K) and 0.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 25/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 31%, draw 18%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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