Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Central Coast Mariners (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Central Coast Mariners (K) shaded a tight game against Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
A gentle 54% lean on Wellington Phoenix (K) didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Wellington Phoenix (K) saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.05 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.75 a game for Central Coast Mariners (K) against 0.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Result & Final Score
Central Coast Mariners (K) 2 - 1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 25/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 24%, draw 22%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.