Partick Thistle vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Partick Thistle v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals
Partick Thistle vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Falkirk
İKLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Partick Thistle
İKCK
5-0
HT 3-0
Falkirk
İSK1
Partick Thistle squeezed past Falkirk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Partick Thistle and 2.00 for Falkirk.
What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Falkirk?
Partick Thistle 2-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Falkirk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 29%, draw 25%, Falkirk 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Falkirk) went the other way.