Kickers Emden 1-3 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
2.23
Over
41%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 34%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
1.20/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.15
-28% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lübeck
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Lübeck Lübeck 3-1 HT 2-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
02.12.2022 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 0-6 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
05.08.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 3-0 HT 1-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck beat Kickers Emden 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Lübeck made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kickers Emden and 4.00 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs Lübeck?

Kickers Emden 1-3 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 38%, draw 29%, Lübeck 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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