Dandenong City 5-2 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
3.67/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/3.03
+38% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Port Melbourne
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.17 xG 1.39
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
202 Passes 421
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 5-3 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
04.05.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.07.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.04.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 1-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
21.05.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City cruised past Port Melbourne 5-2. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dandenong City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Dandenong City and 2.00 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Port Melbourne?

Dandenong City 5-2 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 59%, draw 20%, Port Melbourne 21%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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