Hartberg vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Hartberg 1-1 Grazer AK — Actual Match Statistics
Hartberg and Grazer AK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Hartberg had 65% of the ball to Grazer AK's 35%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.16 to 1.47.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hartberg and 0.33 for Grazer AK.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Hartberg 1-1 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 40%, draw 25%, Grazer AK 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartberg), Over 2.5 went the other way.