Telstar 3-2 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.64
2-3 Goals
41%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.79/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.78
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
487 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.1 Crosses 13.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Oss
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.01.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
27.10.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
26.03.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
06.01.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
04.03.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
3-2
AWAY FC Oss
2.78 xG 1.68
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
434 Passes 216
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
52 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Telstar vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar edged past FC Oss 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Telstar had 64% of the ball to FC Oss's 36%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.78 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Telstar and 1.00 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Telstar vs FC Oss?

Telstar 3-2 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Telstar 64%, draw 20%, FC Oss 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
25 Apr 2025
21:00 Dordrecht vs MVV Maastricht Analysis →
21:00 Cambuur vs Vitesse Analysis →