Dordrecht 3-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.07
2-3 Goals
38%
2.21
4-5 Goals
26%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.00/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.70
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.1 Crosses 14.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
353 Passes 339
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
04.03.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-3 HT 0-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
25.08.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
14.04.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
23.09.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-2 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
25.02.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
3-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.91 xG 0.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
24 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
322 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht swept aside MVV Maastricht 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dordrecht had 49% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 51%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.91 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dordrecht and 1.67 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs MVV Maastricht?

Dordrecht 3-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 52%, draw 24%, MVV Maastricht 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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