Cambuur 2-1 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.87/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.94
+4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.2 Crosses 23.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Vitesse
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.28 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
318 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 0-6 HT 0-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.02.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
14.05.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 2-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
15.10.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 0-3 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
10.04.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
04.12.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 1-6 HT 1-3 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
2-1
AWAY Vitesse
1.88 xG 0.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
250 Passes 382
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur squeezed past Vitesse 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 42% of the ball to Vitesse's 58%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.88 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cambuur's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cambuur and 2.17 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Vitesse?

Cambuur 2-1 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 52%, draw 22%, Vitesse 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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