RKC Waalwijk 0-4 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Apr 2025

RKC Waalwijk
0-4 HT 0-3
Utrecht
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
12%
8.28
X/2
14%
4.95
X/X
8%
5.81
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
24%
2.5
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.0 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.39/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.25
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
19.2 Crosses 21.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Utrecht
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.96 xG 1.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
299 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.01.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOK
05.10.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 3-2 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
28.04.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
16.12.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
31.10.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 3-2 HT 3-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOK
13.05.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 2-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

RKC Waalwijk 0-4 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AWAY Utrecht
0.67 xG 2.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
358 Passes 398
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht ran out comfortable winners over RKC Waalwijk 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 47% of the ball to Utrecht's 53%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 0.67 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 2.17 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht?

RKC Waalwijk 0-4 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 29%, draw 24%, Utrecht 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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