Omiya Ardija 1-0 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.44
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.6 Crosses 10.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.07.2017 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
06.05.2017 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP
26.04.2017 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JLK
08.07.2015 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-3 HT 2-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
29.03.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-1 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
22.09.2012 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-5 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-0
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
260 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija nicked a narrow win over Consadole Sapporo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 45% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.17 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo?

Omiya Ardija 1-0 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J2 League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 46%, draw 27%, Consadole Sapporo 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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