Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.07/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.38
+61% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
11.08.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
14.04.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
08.10.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
30.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-3
AWAY FK Panevezys
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys nicked a narrow win over Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 47% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 53%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.67 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 53%, draw 26%, FK Panevezys 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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