Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos squeezed past Leones Negros Udeg 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Tepatitlán de Morelos made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.17 for Leones Negros Udeg.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 33%, draw 28%, Leones Negros Udeg 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Under 2.5 went the other way.