Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puszcza Niepolomice v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Puszcza Niepolomice 4-5 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin nicked a narrow win over Puszcza Niepolomice 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 30% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 70%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.05 to 2.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pogon Szczecin's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 2.00 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Puszcza Niepolomice 4-5 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 29%, draw 30%, Pogon Szczecin 41%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.