UD Oliveirense 2-0 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.92
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.69
6+
9%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.45/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.60
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.75 xG 1.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
276 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
18.02.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-2 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
17.09.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
22.04.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-4 HT 0-3 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
05.11.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
14.05.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
2-0
AWAY Academico Viseu
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense beat Academico Viseu 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; UD Oliveirense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 46% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 54%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.50 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Academico Viseu?

UD Oliveirense 2-0 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Oliveirense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 35%, draw 31%, Academico Viseu 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Oliveirense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Oliveirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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