Boston United 3-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Apr 2026

Boston United
3-1 HT 0-0
Hartlepool United
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Boston United vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.89
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.11
X/2
13%
6.93
X/X
10%
5.12
2/1
12%
23.1
2/2
14%
4.63
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boston United v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.18/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.57
-24% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
131 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 107 · 92%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Boston United vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hartlepool United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
1 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2025 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İBSL
22.03.2025 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 4-1 HT 2-1 Boston United Boston United İBSL
10.09.2024 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
24.02.2007 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
01.09.2006 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İN2
19.01.2005 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United got the better of Hartlepool United 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Boston United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boston United and 1.83 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Hartlepool United?

Boston United 3-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boston United 40%, draw 26%, Hartlepool United 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
25 Apr 2026
14:30 Woking vs Halifax Town Analysis →
14:30 Yeovil vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
14:30 Scunthorpe United vs Eastleigh Analysis →
14:30 Boreham Wood vs Sutton United Analysis →
14:30 Altrincham vs Gateshead Analysis →
14:30 Southend United vs Wealdstone Analysis →