Altrincham 3-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
9%
6.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.74 — our 28% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.35
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.7
X/2
7%
8.28
X/X
9%
6.04
2/1
8%
19.85
2/2
15%
5.57
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.69/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.39
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
128 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 102 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gateshead
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2025 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
15.02.2025 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
19.10.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
23.03.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-3 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
07.10.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
10.04.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
3-1
AWAY Gateshead
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham beat Gateshead 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Altrincham had 52% of the ball to Gateshead's 48%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Altrincham and 1.00 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Gateshead?

Altrincham 3-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 46%, draw 24%, Gateshead 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ BTTS Yes
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