Rochdale 1-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 30% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.79
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
9%
12.25
X/1
12%
6.16
X/2
13%
5.73
X/X
14%
5.18
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.39
2/X
6%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.7pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.50/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.97
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-1D-4L
AWAY York City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
0 Passes 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2025 York City York City 4-1 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
11.10.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 0-0 York City York City FAK
25.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 0-4 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
20.08.2024 York City York City 1-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
16.12.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
28.08.2023 York City York City 1-3 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
1-1
AWAY York City
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale and York City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Rochdale had 51% of the ball to York City's 49%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rochdale and 2.00 for York City.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs York City?

Rochdale 1-1 York City in the England - National League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 34%, draw 29%, York City 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (York City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ Under 2.5
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