York City vs Rochdale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York City v Rochdale — Team-Based Signals
York City vs Rochdale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Rochdale
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
York City
İBSL
1-3
HT 1-1
Rochdale
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
York City
İN2
York City 4-1 Rochdale — Actual Match Statistics
York City cruised past Rochdale 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, York City had 55% of the ball to Rochdale's 45%, shots finished 18-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York City and 0.67 for Rochdale.
What was the final score of York City vs Rochdale?
York City 4-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York City vs Rochdale?
Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split York City 44%, draw 24%, Rochdale 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.