Rochdale vs York City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rochdale v York City — Team-Based Signals
Rochdale vs York City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Rochdale
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
York City
İBSL
1-3
HT 1-1
Rochdale
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
York City
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Rochdale
İN2
Rochdale 1-2 York City — Actual Match Statistics
York City squeezed past Rochdale 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Rochdale had 39% of the ball to York City's 61%, shots finished 6-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rochdale and 1.00 for York City.
What was the final score of Rochdale vs York City?
Rochdale 1-2 York City in the England - FA Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rochdale vs York City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 47%, draw 23%, York City 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rochdale), Under 2.5 went the other way.