Forest Green Rovers 4-2 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 11 Nov 2025

Forest Green Rovers
4-2 HT 2-1
Tamworth
📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 25% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.73
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
24%
4.06
X/2
5%
13.8
X/X
9%
7.05
2/1
9%
20.5
2/2
9%
10.9
2/X
4%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.67/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.25
-15% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
124 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 101 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tamworth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2025 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-0 HT 3-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
26.12.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
15.03.2014 Tamworth Tamworth 1-2 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
24.09.2013 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
06.04.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
09.10.2012 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 4-2 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
4-2
AWAY Tamworth
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers got the better of Tamworth 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 59% of the ball to Tamworth's 41%, shots finished 27-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tamworth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.33 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth?

Forest Green Rovers 4-2 Tamworth in the England - National League on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 62%, draw 19%, Tamworth 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5
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