Southend United 2-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.7
6+ Goals
10%
7.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.86
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
22%
4.14
X/2
10%
11.35
X/X
9%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.85
2/2
8%
8.64
2/X
5%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.76/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.00
-10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
104 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 67 · 54%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
02.09.2025 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
26.04.2025 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
24.09.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
09.04.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.03.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-1
AWAY Wealdstone
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United squeezed past Wealdstone 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Southend United had 47% of the ball to Wealdstone's 53%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southend United and 1.17 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Wealdstone?

Southend United 2-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Southend United 59%, draw 20%, Wealdstone 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
25 Apr 2026
14:30 Woking vs Halifax Town Analysis →
14:30 Yeovil vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
14:30 Scunthorpe United vs Eastleigh Analysis →
14:30 Boreham Wood vs Sutton United Analysis →
14:30 Altrincham vs Gateshead Analysis →
14:30 Rochdale vs York City Analysis →