Gateshead 0-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.71
6+ Goals
10%
7.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 27% vs market 16.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
12%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.34
X/2
15%
6.93
X/X
12%
5.5
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
12%
4.38
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.56/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.71
+3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
60 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 62 · 96%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Altrincham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
23.03.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-3 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
07.10.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
10.04.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
18.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
15.10.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
0-1
AWAY Altrincham
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham squeezed past Gateshead 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Altrincham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gateshead had 59% of the ball to Altrincham's 41%, shots finished 22-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gateshead and 1.50 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Altrincham?

Gateshead 0-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 39%, draw 28%, Altrincham 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ BTTS No
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