Ebbsfleet United 0-2 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.15
Over 2.5
39%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
2.86
6+ Goals
8%
8.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 33% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.65
1/2
8%
21.1
1/X
10%
18.8
X/1
4%
13.05
X/2
26%
3.96
X/X
10%
6.42
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.76
2/X
6%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
43%
+17.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
57%
-17.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 69%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.69/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.00
-38% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -50%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY York City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 York City York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
23.12.2023 York City York City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
02.09.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 4-1 HT 2-1 York City York City İBSL
21.01.2012 York City York City 3-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
13.08.2011 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
13.02.2010 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-2
AWAY York City
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City saw off Ebbsfleet United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 53% of the ball to York City's 47%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.83 for York City.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs York City?

Ebbsfleet United 0-2 York City in the England - National League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 20%, draw 25%, York City 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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