Eastleigh 2-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.74
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.68
X/2
12%
5.66
X/X
10%
4.76
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.71
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.69/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.61
+26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
132 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 155 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
16.12.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-5 HT 0-3 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
09.12.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town FAK
28.08.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
10.04.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-3 HT 3-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
04.10.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
2-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh saw off Aldershot Town 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Eastleigh found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 47% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 53%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Eastleigh and 1.67 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town?

Eastleigh 2-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 39%, draw 25%, Aldershot Town 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastleigh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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