Aldershot Town 2-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

Aldershot Town
2-1
Eastleigh
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.17
1/2
11%
28.5
1/X
12%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
12%
6.11
X/X
8%
5.23
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
11%
4.0
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Eastleigh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.50/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.55
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-5 HT 0-3 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
09.12.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town FAK
28.08.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
10.04.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-3 HT 3-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
04.10.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
02.04.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL

Aldershot Town 2-1 Eastleigh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
2-1
AWAY Eastleigh
67% Ball Possession 33%
0 Corners 0
2 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town squeezed past Eastleigh 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Aldershot Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 67% of the ball to Eastleigh's 33%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aldershot Town and 2.50 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh?

Aldershot Town 2-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 39%, draw 27%, Eastleigh 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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