Maidenhead United 1-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
13%
4.89
X/2
7%
5.85
X/X
14%
4.74
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.2
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.29/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.22
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 3-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
15.08.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
08.05.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-4 HT 1-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
10.10.2020 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-4 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
10.08.2019 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
08.12.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United and Hartlepool United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.00 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United?

Maidenhead United 1-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 40%, draw 28%, Hartlepool United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidenhead United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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