Tamworth 3-2 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
11%
7.17
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
14%
5.26
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.25/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
-23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Woking
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
26.04.2014 Tamworth Tamworth 2-4 HT 0-2 Woking Woking İBSL
13.09.2013 Woking Woking 2-2 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
20.04.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 1-1 Woking Woking İBSL
29.09.2012 Woking Woking 2-3 HT 0-2 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
17.02.2007 Woking Woking 0-2 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
18.11.2006 Tamworth Tamworth 3-1 HT 2-1 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
3-2
AWAY Woking
67% Ball Possession 33%
0 Corners 0
2 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth nicked a narrow win over Woking 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tamworth had 67% of the ball to Woking's 33%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tamworth had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tamworth and 1.67 for Woking.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Woking?

Tamworth 3-2 Woking in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 43%, draw 26%, Woking 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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