Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.6
X/1
24%
3.67
X/2
10%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.51
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
9%
9.26
2/X
7%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
2.04/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.46
+9% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
21.01.2017 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
24.09.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
09.04.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
23.01.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
14.03.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
17.01.2015 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2-1
AWAY Braintree Town
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers edged past Braintree Town 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 0.67 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Braintree Town?

Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 50%, draw 25%, Braintree Town 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Solihull Moors vs Barnet Analysis →
00:00 Wealdstone vs Yeovil Analysis →
00:00 Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh Analysis →
00:00 Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
00:00 Tamworth vs Woking Analysis →
00:00 York City vs Ebbsfleet United Analysis →