York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Oct 2024

York City
4-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

York City vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 27% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
16%
3.37
X/2
6%
18.15
X/X
11%
6.84
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
8%
15.15
2/X
6%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York City v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 14%
-19% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.41
-39% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

York City vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 York City York City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
02.09.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 4-1 HT 2-1 York City York City İBSL
21.01.2012 York City York City 3-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
13.08.2011 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
13.02.2010 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
14.11.2009 York City York City 1-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
4-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0 Corners 0
3 Passes 0
POST-MATCH York City vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City cruised past Ebbsfleet United 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York City and 1.50 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of York City vs Ebbsfleet United?

York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split York City 59%, draw 22%, Ebbsfleet United 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Solihull Moors vs Barnet Analysis →
00:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Braintree Town Analysis →
00:00 Wealdstone vs Yeovil Analysis →
00:00 Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh Analysis →
00:00 Maidenhead United vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
00:00 Tamworth vs Woking Analysis →